Make a piece of what you sell yourself, or pay another company to make it for you.
22 of 32 judged decisions were never undone. 6 were walked back, several of them factories brought home.
Giving work away is cheap and getting it back is not. The plants brought home to make a point were the ones that closed.
The plant Boeing sold, and bought back
In 2005 Boeing sold its fuselage plant in Wichita, Kansas, for about $900 million in cash. The idea was to stop building the big pieces of its airplanes and become a lean systems integrator: design the plane, buy the parts, put them together.
The division had cost about $2.2 billion a year to run, and selling it turned that cost into a supplier's invoice. Nineteen years later Boeing agreed to buy the business back. Explaining why, it said that bringing the work home would
“strengthen aviation safety, improve quality and serve the interests of our customers, employees, and shareholders”Boeing, on reacquiring Spirit AeroSystems, as recorded in the Boeing case
The price, agreed in July 2024, was a total enterprise value of about $8.3 billion, and the deal brought about 15,000 employees back inside. The retreat had started much earlier: in March 2008, Boeing moved to buy out a partner's stake in a 787 assembly plant to regain direct control of its supply chain.
That is the whole decision in one story. Selling the plant looked like a saving because the saving was easy to count. What it cost to depend on someone else for the fuselage showed up later, and it showed up all at once. The rest of this guide is about the companies that faced a version of that choice, which way they went, and which of them had to go back.
What make or buy is
A make-or-buy decision is the choice between doing a piece of work inside your company and paying another company to do it. When a company chooses to make more of the chain that runs from raw material to customer, it is called vertical integration.
The choice is never all or nothing. Every company buys something, so the real question is which layer to own: the part customers pay for, the part whose failure stops the line, or neither. It runs in both directions. A company can reach back toward its suppliers, as Nucor did when it built its own steel mill, or forward toward its customers, as BYD did when a battery maker bought a carmaker.
Why it is so hard
On paper this is a cost comparison: what it costs to make the thing, against what it costs to buy it. In a real company, three things make that comparison wrong.
The saving shows; the dependence doesn't
A supplier's price is on an invoice. What it costs on the day that supplier can't deliver is on no spreadsheet until the day it happens.
Know-how leaves with the work
Once another company has made a part for years, it understands the part better than you do. Taking the work back means buying that knowledge, at a price the other side sets.
Factories are slow and stubborn
A plant takes years to build and fixes a cost for a decade. If the bet is wrong, the building is still there, and so are the people in it.
The ways companies did it
The decisions on record take five shapes. Some move work inside, some move it out, and one keeps it outside but ties it down.
Build the part you depend on
Make the input a supplier could squeeze you on.
- Nucor
- Built its own steel mill in 1969 to escape a single supplier that kept raising prices. After early casting failures, earnings rebounded 140% in 1971 and another 70% in 1972.
- BYD
- A battery maker, it bought a carmaker in 2003 for HK$269 million. A 2023 teardown of its Seal found about 75% of the parts made in-house, against 46% for the Chinese-built Tesla Model 3, and a production cost about 15% lower.
Acquire the supplier, or its people
Buy the company, or the team, that already knows how.
- Apple
- Paid $278 million for the chip designer P.A. Semi in 2008. Apple's first in-house chip, the A4, shipped in 2010, and in 2019 it paid $1 billion for most of Intel's smartphone modem business.
- ASML
- Agreed in 2012 to buy its supplier Cymer for €1.95 billion, and in 2016 paid €1 billion for 24.9% of Carl Zeiss SMT, which made its optics. The first chips made with its EUV machines reached smartphones in 2018.
Own the contract, not the factory
Get a supplier to work only for you, and leave the plant on its books.
- 7-Eleven
- Since 1979 Seven-Eleven Japan's fresh food has come from independent plants that make it for no one else. By February 2024 that network ran 172 factories across Japan.
- Uniqlo
- Formalized its partnership with the fiber maker Toray in 2006 and left the mills to Toray. HEATTECH, the fabric they developed together, went from 1.5 million units in 2003 to 130 million by 2012.
Sell the plant and buy the parts
Let a specialist make it, and keep the capital.
- Boeing
- Sold Wichita in 2005, as in the story above.
- Peloton
- Bought Tonic, a bike factory in Taiwan, for $47.4 million in 2019. In July 2022 it said it was leaving owned manufacturing and moving its bikes and treadmills to a contract maker, Rexon.
Move the making closer to the customer
Build where the buyers are, instead of shipping across an ocean.
- TSMC
- Announced a chip plant in Arizona in 2020 at about $12 billion. The price rose to $20 billion and full production slipped to 2025, but by October 2024 its yields were about 4 percentage points above comparable plants in Taiwan, and announced Arizona investment later reached $165 billion.
- GE Appliances
- Brought its GeoSpring water heater home from Asia to Louisville in 2012, in a $38 million plant meant to prove that lean assembly could beat cheap overseas labor. GE stopped making it at the end of 2016 because of low sales.
What 34 companies did
Here is every decision on record, placed by the year it was made and marked by how it turned out. Hover a mark, or open the table, for the company and the outcome.
34 make or buy decisions, 1969 to 2026
Each mark is one decision. "Never undone" means the company did not reverse it, not that it worked.
Show as a table
| Company | Year | Choice | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor | 1969 | Build own mill | Never undone |
| 7-Eleven | 1979 | Contractual exclusive supply network | Never undone |
| Uniqlo (Fast Retailing) | 1987 | Adopt SPA manufacturer-retailer model | Never undone |
| Seven-Eleven Japan | 1991 | Acquire the licensor | Never undone |
| Ericsson | 2000 | Single-source from Philips | Walked back |
| Amazon | 2003 | Sell infrastructure as a product | Never undone |
| BYD | 2003 | Integrate forward into cars | Never undone |
| Boeing | 2005 | Sell Wichita, outsource fuselages | Walked back |
| Uniqlo (Fast Retailing) | 2006 | Lock exclusive co-developed fiber | Never undone |
| Apple | 2008 | Acquire chip-design talent | Never undone |
| Boeing | 2008 | Buy back supply-chain control | Too early to call |
| Caterpillar | 2010 | Build Texas regional hub | Never undone |
| Master Lock | 2011 | Reshore some production | Walked back |
| Apple | 2012 | Assemble a Mac in US | Kept in part |
| ASML | 2012 | Take equity in suppliers | Never undone |
| GE Appliances | 2012 | Reshore production to Louisville | Walked back |
| Amazon | 2013 | Build own delivery network | Never undone |
| Walmart | 2013 | Pledge American-made purchasing | Never undone |
| Tesla | 2014 | Build the cells | Never undone |
| Tencent | 2015 | Buy out Riot entirely | Never undone |
| Foxconn | 2017 | Pledge the $10B LCD plant | Kept in part |
| Apple | 2019 | Acquire Intel's modem business | Never undone |
| Shopify | 2019 | Build fulfillment network | Walked back |
| Spotify | 2019 | Own studios and shows | Kept in part |
| Stanley Black & Decker | 2019 | Build flagship automated plant | Walked back |
| Tesla | 2019 | Localize suppliers in Shanghai | Never undone |
| TSMC | 2020 | Build fab in Arizona | Never undone |
| Intel | 2021 | Pursue IDM 2.0 foundry | Never undone |
| Nvidia | 2022 | Move gaming to TSMC 4N | Never undone |
| Peloton | 2022 | Exit owned manufacturing | Never undone |
| Chipotle | 2023 | Franchise the Middle East | Never undone |
| Cisco | 2024 | Acquire Splunk | Never undone |
| UPS | 2025 | Cut Amazon volume | Kept in part |
| Fox | 2026 | Acquire Roku | Too early to call |
Of the 32 decisions that can be judged, 22 were never undone, 6 were walked back and 4 were kept only in part.
The walk-backs
Put the reversals and the partial retreats side by side and three groups show. One came to depend on a supplier and found out what that dependence cost. Another brought work home to make a point, and closed the plant when the point stopped paying. The third bought its way into a layer next to its own business, studios or warehouses, and sold or folded it when it did not pay.
| Company | What it did | How it was undone | Kind of move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ericsson2000 | Made Philips the only source of its radio chips, to simplify its supply chain | A fire at the Philips plant cut supply; the handset unit went into the Sony Ericsson joint venture in October 2001A shortfall estimated at 7 million phones | One supplier, no backup |
| Boeing2005 | Sold its Wichita fuselage plant for about $900 million | Agreed in July 2024 to buy Spirit AeroSystems, and the plant with it, backA total enterprise value of about $8.3 billion | Sold a core skill |
| Master Lock2011 | Brought about 100 jobs back to its Milwaukee plant as Chinese costs rose | The plant closed in March 2024, after more than 100 yearsTerminations of over 300 employees | Brought home a slice |
| GE Appliances2012 | Reshored its GeoSpring water heater to a $38 million Louisville plant | Production stopped at the end of 2016; the equipment left for Michigan after March 2018About 300 hourly workers and 23 salaried employees affected | Brought home a showcase |
| Foxconn2017 | Pledged a $10 billion LCD plant in Wisconsin | In 2021 the plan was cut to $672 million and 1,454 jobs; the LCD plant was never built | Announced, not built |
| Spotify2019 | Bought podcast studios and exclusive shows, starting with about €300M for Gimlet and Anchor | Folded Gimlet and Parcast into one studio in 2023 and renewed Rogan without exclusivity in 2024Over $800 million spent on podcast acquisitions | Owned the wrong layer |
| Shopify2019 | Set out to build its own fulfillment network, buying the warehouse-robot maker 6 River Systems for about $450M | In 2023 sold 6 River Systems to Ocado and the majority of its logistics business to Flexport, for a 13% equity stake and no cash6 River Systems resold for $12.7 million | Owned the wrong layer |
| Stanley Black & Decker2019 | Built an automated Craftsman plant in Fort Worth, promising about 500 jobs | Announced its closure in March 2023 after the process never fully ramped$44 million of write-downs; 175 jobs cut | Unproven process, full scale |
The kind of move is Stratrix's reading of each case. Foxconn and Spotify were kept only in part; the rest were undone.
The Ericsson row has a twin, though it is filed as a crisis decision rather than a sourcing one. The same March 2000 fire at the same Philips chip plant hit Nokia too. Nokia read Philips's reassuring first report as a reason to check, escalated within days and lined up other chip capacity. Ericsson took the report at face value. Nokia took the market; Ericsson's shortfall was estimated at 7 million phones.
The reshorings that failed each brought home one product or a slice of output: a water heater, part of a lock range, one family of hand tools. The ones that held were built for demand that was already there. Caterpillar's $200 million plant in Victoria, Texas took over the excavators bound for U.S. customers, survived a trade-war layoff in 2019, and was adding 200 positions in 2025.
Owning the work is cheap to give up and expensive to get back.
What the share price did
For many of the decisions there is a clean market record: the company's total return over the three years after the decision, against the S&P 500.
Three years after the decision, against the S&P 500
Percentage points of total return above or below the index, for the 11 decisions with a clean market record. 55% beat it; the median was +17.6 points.
Show as a table
| Company | Year | vs S&P 500, 3 years | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nvidia | 2022 | +1146.7 | Never undone |
| Apple | 2019 | +162.6 | Never undone |
| Apple | 2008 | +137.9 | Never undone |
| ASML | 2012 | +103.7 | Never undone |
| Boeing | 2005 | +46.6 | Walked back |
| TSMC | 2020 | +17.6 | Never undone |
| Apple | 2012 | −7.9 | Kept in part |
| Shopify | 2019 | −21.2 | Walked back |
| Spotify | 2019 | −30.5 | Kept in part |
| Intel | 2021 | −62.6 | Never undone |
| Chipotle | 2023 | −96.4 | Never undone |
Read it slowly. Boeing's sale of Wichita beat the index by 46.6 points over the next three years, and was undone nineteen years later at a total enterprise value of about $8.3 billion. Intel's 2021 decision to build chips for others still stands; its shares trailed the index by 62.6 points over three years, and its foundry lost $13 billion in 2024. Three years is too short to see what a sourcing decision costs.
How to run this decision
If you are weighing a version of this choice, here is what the record suggests doing, in order.
- Name the layer customers pay for
Before you compare costs, write down the one part of the product that makes customers choose you, and the one part whose failure stops the line. Those are the candidates to own or to tie down. Everything else can be bought. Uniqlo decided in 1987 to control everything from design to the price tag, and it still leaves the fiber mills to Toray.
Seen in: Uniqlo, 1987 · BYD, 2003 - Don't let a single supplier be why it was cheaper
If a sole supplier is the cheaper option, say what a second one would cost and treat the difference as insurance you are choosing not to buy. Ericsson made Philips its only source of radio chips to simplify its supply chain, so when the plant burned there was no qualified alternative.
Seen in: Ericsson, 2000 - Price the buy-back before you sell
Assume you are wrong and must bring the work home in fifteen years, at a price the other side sets. Put that price next to the yearly saving. Boeing sold Wichita for about $900 million and bought it back at a total enterprise value of about $8.3 billion.
Seen in: Boeing, 2005 and 2024 - Treat a supplier's reassurance as a question
When a key supplier says a problem will be fixed soon, check the claim and start looking for other capacity the same week. Nokia escalated within days of Philips's first report; Ericsson waited, and its phone business was badly damaged.
Seen in: Nokia and Ericsson, 2000 - Prove the process small before you build the flagship
A new plant that depends on a process nobody has run at scale is two bets, not one. Stanley Black & Decker built its Fort Worth plant around a first-of-its-kind automated process, never fully ramped it, and announced the closure less than three years after the plant opened.
Seen in: Stanley Black & Decker, 2019 - Bring work home for demand, not for a headline
Reshoring one product to show that it can be done leaves a plant with no reason to exist when that product's sales slip. Build where enough demand already sits to keep the plant busy in a bad year, and give it more than one thing to make.
Seen in: GE Appliances, 2012 · Caterpillar, 2010 - Try a contract before a deed
An exclusive partner who builds only for you gives you much of the control of ownership without the capital. Seven-Eleven Japan and Uniqlo both chose that route, and ASML took stakes only in suppliers it could not replace.
Seen in: 7-Eleven, 1979 · Uniqlo, 2006 · ASML, 2012
To work the numbers for your own case, read Make or buy: how to decide what your company must own.
Warning signs
What it has looked like when this decision was going wrong.
- The only reason given for a sole supplier is that one is simpler than two.Ericsson, 2000
- The case for selling a plant has a line for the saving and none for buying it back.Boeing, 2005
- The new plant exists to prove a point, and the point is the headline.GE Appliances, 2012 · Stanley Black & Decker, 2019
- The investment is a pledge with a big number and nothing binding behind it.Foxconn, 2017
- A supplier's reassuring report is accepted without a check.Ericsson, 2000
All 34 cases
Each case is one company at one decision: what was on the table, what it chose, why, and what followed, with every fact sourced.
Never undone · 22
- Nucor, 1969Build own mill
- 7-Eleven, 1979Contractual exclusive supply network
- Uniqlo (Fast Retailing), 1987Adopt SPA manufacturer-retailer model
- Seven-Eleven Japan, 1991Acquire the licensor
- Amazon, 2003Sell infrastructure as a product
- BYD, 2003Integrate forward into cars
- Uniqlo (Fast Retailing), 2006Lock exclusive co-developed fiber
- Apple, 2008Acquire chip-design talent
- Caterpillar, 2010Build Texas regional hub
- ASML, 2012Take equity in suppliers
- Amazon, 2013Build own delivery network
- Walmart, 2013Pledge American-made purchasing
- Tesla, 2014Build the cells
- Tencent, 2015Buy out Riot entirely
- Apple, 2019Acquire Intel's modem business
- Tesla, 2019Localize suppliers in Shanghai
- TSMC, 2020Build fab in Arizona
- Intel, 2021Pursue IDM 2.0 foundry
- Nvidia, 2022Move gaming to TSMC 4N
- Peloton, 2022Exit owned manufacturing
- Chipotle, 2023Franchise the Middle East
- Cisco, 2024Acquire Splunk
Kept in part · 4
- Apple, 2012Assemble a Mac in US
- Foxconn, 2017Pledge the $10B LCD plant
- Spotify, 2019Own studios and shows
- UPS, 2025Cut Amazon volume
Walked back · 6
- Ericsson, 2000Single-source from Philips
- Boeing, 2005Sell Wichita, outsource fuselages
- Master Lock, 2011Reshore some production
- GE Appliances, 2012Reshore production to Louisville
- Shopify, 2019Build fulfillment network
- Stanley Black & Decker, 2019Build flagship automated plant
Too early to call · 2
- Boeing, 2008Buy back supply-chain control
- Fox, 2026Acquire Roku
Questions
- What is a make-or-buy decision?
- The choice between doing a piece of work inside your company and paying another company to do it. Choosing to make more of the chain yourself is called vertical integration; choosing to buy more of it is called outsourcing.
- What is the difference between vertical integration and outsourcing?
- They are the two directions of the same decision. Vertical integration brings work inside, by building a plant or buying a supplier. Outsourcing sends it out, by selling a plant or signing a supply contract. Many companies do both at once, for different parts of what they sell.
- What are examples of vertical integration?
- Nucor building its own steel mill, BYD buying a carmaker to use its batteries, Apple designing its own chips after buying P.A. Semi, and Amazon building its own delivery network. Boeing's sale and later repurchase of its Wichita fuselage plant is the clearest example in this guide of an outsourcing decision being undone.
- Why do reshoring projects fail?
- In the cases on record, the reshorings that were undone each brought home one product or a slice of output: a water heater, part of a lock range, a family of hand tools. When that product's sales or process faltered, the plant had nothing else to make.
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