Choose who runs the company after the leader who defined it, and decide how the handover happens.
15 of 20 judged decisions were never undone, and 2 were walked back. 7 more are too early to judge.
The handovers that held were tested long before the seat was empty. Naming a successor takes a day; testing one takes years.
Five days at Coca-Cola
In October 1997 Coca-Cola's chairman and chief executive, Roberto Goizueta, died. Five days later the board held a special meeting and elected Douglas Ivester to both jobs: the tenth chairman in the company's history, and the one everyone had expected.
Ivester had been president and chief operating officer since 1994. He was the designated heir and already doing much of the job, so the handover was treated as a formality. By late 1999 the company had been in a slump for roughly two years, and analysts described his position in blunt terms.
“the great misfortune of being in charge of Coca-Cola during perhaps its worst period ever”Analysts on Douglas Ivester, as recorded in the Coca-Cola case
In December 1999 the board accepted his resignation, effective April 19, 2000, about two and a half years after he took over. The shares fell sharply on the news.
Thirteen years later Costco handed over the same job the slow way. On February 1, 2010 its board made Craig Jelinek president and chief operating officer, put him on the board, and folded him into an Office of the President with three senior leaders, among them the chairman and the finance chief. He became chief executive two years later. Over his tenure revenue grew from $99 billion to $242.3 billion and the warehouse count from 617 to 861.
Both boards picked an insider who was already doing the work. One treated the choice as settled the day the seat was empty. The other spent two years finding out, in public, whether it was right. That gap, between naming a successor and testing one, runs through this whole guide.
What ceo succession is
CEO succession is the choice of who runs a company after the person running it now, and of how the handover happens. It is hardest when the outgoing leader defined the company, because the board must also decide what the successor is there to keep and what to change.
It is a board's decision more than a chief executive's. A sitting leader can recommend a successor, as Steve Jobs did in writing for Tim Cook, but the board makes the appointment, lives with it, and is the one that has to undo it if it goes wrong.
Why it is so hard
On paper it is a hiring decision. In a real company, three things make it unlike any other hire.
The result takes years to show
A board's choice is news the day it is made. Whether it worked shows up years later, which is why so many successions on record are still too early to judge.
The obvious candidate is watched, not tested
The deputy everyone expects has usually been observed doing a different job. Being named the heir and proving you can run the company are two different things, and the first can hide the second.
The seat often empties without warning
Many handovers on record began with a death, a crash or an emergency operation. A board that has not decided in advance has to decide in a weekend.
The ways companies did it
The decisions on record take four shapes. Each answers the same question, who is next, with a different amount of time to decide.
Test the successor in public, early
Put the likely successor in a visible role for years before the handover.
- Costco
- Gave Craig Jelinek a two-year runway as president, chief operating officer and director before he became chief executive. As of 2023 reporting, he had never changed the price of the $1.50 hot dog.
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Named Greg Abel publicly as Warren Buffett's successor in 2021, announced the handover in May 2025, and made him chief executive on January 1, 2026, with Buffett staying on as chairman.
- Apple
- Named Tim Cook chief executive in August 2011 on Steve Jobs's written recommendation. Over Cook's tenure the stock rose roughly 2,000% against about 503% for the S&P 500.
Fill the seat in hours
When the leader dies or cannot return, follow a plan written before it was needed.
- Micron Technology
- Its bylaws made Mark Durcan interim chief executive the day Steve Appleton was killed in a crash in February 2012. The board made him permanent the next day, and he gave up a retirement he had announced days earlier.
- Total
- Named Patrick Pouyanné chief executive barely 36 hours after its chairman and chief executive died in 2014, with a former chairman, Thierry Desmarest, as chairman until the end of 2015.
- McDonald's
- Named Charlie Bell chief executive within hours of Jim Cantalupo's death in April 2004. When Bell stepped down that November to fight cancer, the board named Jim Skinner the same day, and the turnaround plan carried on under both.
Look inside and out
Open the job to outside candidates and let a committee decide.
- Microsoft
- Ran a search of roughly five months that narrowed to six serious candidates, including outsiders. The board could not agree on an outsider and the outside candidates withdrew; in February 2014 it named Satya Nadella, who had been at Microsoft twenty-two years.
- Boeing
- In July 2024 hired Kelly Ortberg, an engineer with "more than 35 years of aerospace experience," after three of its four previous chief executives had come from General Electric.
- Disney
- In January 2023 formed a board committee to own the succession rather than leave it to the sitting chief executive. It named Josh D'Amaro chief executive effective March 18, 2026.
Return the old leader
Hand the job back to the person who held it before.
- Starbucks
- On January 7, 2008 its chairman, Howard Schultz, took the chief executive job back from Jim Donald. In fiscal 2008 Starbucks closed more than 600 underperforming U.S. stores, and profit fell to $315.5 million.
- Procter & Gamble
- In May 2013 recalled A.G. Lafley, who had already left the company and its board, to replace Robert McDonald as chairman, president and chief executive.
What 27 companies did
Here is every decision on record, placed by the year it was made and marked by how it turned out. Hover a mark, or open the table, for the company and the outcome.
27 choosing the next ceo decisions, 1997 to 2025
Each mark is one decision. "Never undone" means the company did not reverse it, not that it worked.
Show as a table
| Company | Year | Choice | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coca-Cola | 1997 | Elect groomed deputy Ivester | Walked back |
| McDonald's | 2004 | Promote insider heir apparent | Never undone |
| Starbucks | 2008 | Schultz retakes CEO | Never undone |
| Costco | 2010 | Engineer a two-year runway | Never undone |
| Apple | 2011 | Name Cook CEO | Never undone |
| HP | 2011 | Fire CEO, appoint director | Never undone |
| Micron Technology | 2012 | Appoint Durcan permanent CEO | Never undone |
| Sony | 2012 | Own the TV unit himself | Never undone |
| Yahoo | 2012 | Hire transformational CEO | Never undone |
| Procter & Gamble | 2013 | Recall retired Lafley | Too early to call |
| Microsoft | 2014 | Promote insider Nadella | Too early to call |
| Total | 2014 | Groomed insider, split roles | Never undone |
| HP | 2015 | Split the company | Never undone |
| Uber | 2017 | Appoint Dara Khosrowshahi | Too early to call |
| Ferrari | 2018 | Name successors same meeting | Too early to call |
| Alphabet (Google) | 2019 | Hand over title, keep votes | Too early to call |
| Apple | 2019 | Split design under the COO | Kept in part |
| Nike | 2019 | Promote sitting director Donahoe | Walked back |
| JPMorgan Chase | 2020 | Activate existing co-presidents | Kept in part |
| Amazon | 2021 | Promote AWS head Jassy | Too early to call |
| Samsung | 2021 | Borrow against the empire | Never undone |
| Texas Roadhouse | 2021 | Promote sitting president immediately | Too early to call |
| Disney | 2023 | Board owns succession process | Never undone |
| Toyota | 2023 | Replace CEO amid EV pressure | Never undone |
| Boeing | 2024 | Hire an outsider engineer | Never undone |
| Berkshire Hathaway | 2025 | Engineer structured succession | Never undone |
| General Motors | 2025 | Elevate frontrunner without naming | Kept in part |
Of the 20 decisions that can be judged, 15 were never undone, 2 were walked back and 3 were kept only in part. Another 7 are too early to judge: a board's choice is reported the day it is made, and its consequences are not.
Read "never undone" carefully. HP's board fired Léo Apotheker in September 2011, less than eleven months into the job, and made one of its own directors, Meg Whitman, chief executive the same day. In February 2026 another chief executive left and the board again put one of its own members in as interim chief. The revolving door had already cost more than $83 million in severance. That decision counts as never undone because the board kept making it.
The walk-backs
Put the walk-backs and the half-measures side by side and two patterns show. Both outright reversals put a person in charge without testing them in the job first: a handover waved through as a formality, and a digital pivot handed to a director.
| Company | What it did | How it was undone | Kind of move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coca-Cola1997 | Elected the designated heir, Douglas Ivester, five days after Roberto Goizueta's death | The board accepted his resignation, effective April 19, 2000, about two and a half years inThe stock fell sharply on the news | Treated as a formality |
| Apple2019 | Named no successor to Jony Ive and had design report to the chief operating officer | With that officer's retirement in 2025, design was set to report to the chief executive again | Left the seat empty |
| Nike2019 | Made John Donahoe, a director since 2014, chief executive to lead a digital pivot | Replaced on October 14, 2024 by Elliott Hill, an insider brought out of retirement | Chose a director to change course |
| JPMorgan Chase2020 | Had its two co-presidents run the bank while Jamie Dimon recovered from heart surgery | The co-presidency ended when Gordon Smith retired and Daniel Pinto became sole president | Left the seat empty |
| General Motors2025 | Gave Sterling Anderson a new, wide product role without naming a successor | His authority grew within six months, while GM called talk of his succession "premature and speculative" | Left the seat empty |
The kind of move is Stratrix's reading of each case. The JPMorgan arrangement worked while it was needed; it is marked as kept only in part because the structure behind it was taken apart within about twenty months.
The other pattern is in the half-measures. Apple, JPMorgan Chase and General Motors each held a seat or a structure open on purpose, and each later had to fill it or take it apart. An open seat is not a decision avoided; it is a decision postponed.
The handovers that held had something in common too: the successor had already done the job, under observation, before the title changed. Charlie Bell had been running McDonald's as president since a promotion in December 2002. Jelinek spent two years in Costco's Office of the President. Durcan was Micron's president and chief operating officer the day the bylaws made him chief executive.
A board can name a successor in a day. Testing one takes years.
What the share price did
For many of the decisions there is a clean market record: the company's total return over the three years after the decision, against the S&P 500.
Three years after the decision, against the S&P 500
Percentage points of total return above or below the index, for the 12 decisions with a clean market record. 42% beat it; the median was −10.9 points.
Show as a table
| Company | Year | vs S&P 500, 3 years | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 2019 | +150.1 | Kept in part |
| Starbucks | 2008 | +85.8 | Never undone |
| McDonald's | 2004 | +52.3 | Never undone |
| Costco | 2010 | +49.7 | Never undone |
| Apple | 2011 | +15.6 | Never undone |
| JPMorgan Chase | 2020 | −4.9 | Kept in part |
| Toyota | 2023 | −16.9 | Never undone |
| HP | 2011 | −21.3 | Never undone |
| Sony | 2012 | −32.3 | Never undone |
| Nike | 2019 | −35.1 | Walked back |
| Coca-Cola | 1997 | −54.4 | Walked back |
| Disney | 2023 | −54.6 | Never undone |
Both reversals with a market record sit near the bottom of the chart. Coca-Cola trailed the index by 54.4 points over the three years after Ivester took over, and Nike by 35.1 points after Donahoe's appointment was announced.
Read the top of the chart with care. Apple's 2019 decision to leave Jony Ive's job unfilled, kept only in part, sits highest of all, at 150.1 points ahead. Three years of share price says more about the company than about one appointment.
How to run this decision
If you are weighing a version of this choice, here is what the record suggests doing, in order.
- Put the successor in the job before the seat is open
Not the title, the work. Costco gave Jelinek the operating job and a board seat two years ahead. Bell was effectively running McDonald's well before Cantalupo died. JPMorgan's co-presidents had held their titles for about two years when Dimon went into surgery.
Seen in: Costco, 2010 · McDonald's, 2004 · JPMorgan Chase, 2020 - Make the test public, so it can be failed
Costco's runway existed so that the handover would be survivable even if the heir turned out wrong. A private assumption cannot fail until it is too late; Coca-Cola's designated heir was out about two and a half years after the formality of his election.
Seen in: Costco, 2010 · Berkshire Hathaway, 2025 · Coca-Cola, 1997 - Write down the emergency mechanics before you need them
Micron's bylaws named an interim chief executive the day its leader died. Total filled the top job in 36 hours from a successor long groomed and a former chairman held in reserve. A sudden death tests the paperwork, not the board's judgment under pressure.
Seen in: Micron Technology, 2012 · Total, 2014 · Texas Roadhouse, 2021 - Ask whether the job can be done before asking who should do it
Yahoo hired the most credible product leader it could find for a core business the market valued at almost nothing, and the company was sold five years later. HP split itself in two rather than ask one successor to carry both halves of its legacy.
Seen in: Yahoo, 2012 · HP, 2015 - Say what the successor may not change
Jelinek left the $1.50 hot dog alone. Bell and Skinner carried Cantalupo's turnaround forward rather than replacing it. Naming the fixed points turns a broad mandate into a narrow one, and a narrow mandate is one a board can supervise.
Seen in: Costco, 2010 · McDonald's, 2004 - Say which is moving, the title or the control
Alphabet's founders gave Sundar Pichai the chief executive title in 2019 and kept roughly half the votes. The Lee family paid a record inheritance tax and came out owning more of Samsung. Both are legitimate; the people who will work for the new leader deserve to know which one they are in.
Seen in: Alphabet (Google), 2019 · Samsung, 2021
Warning signs
What it has looked like when this decision was going wrong.
- The heir has been designated for years and the handover is described as a formality.Coca-Cola, 1997
- The board reaches for one of its own directors.HP, 2011 and 2026 · Nike, 2019
- The arrangement the handover relied on is taken apart soon afterward.JPMorgan Chase, 2020
- Everyone knows who the likely successor is, and the company calls the question premature.General Motors, 2025
All 27 cases
Each case is one company at one decision: what was on the table, what it chose, why, and what followed, with every fact sourced.
Never undone · 15
- McDonald's, 2004Promote insider heir apparent
- Starbucks, 2008Schultz retakes CEO
- Costco, 2010Engineer a two-year runway
- Apple, 2011Name Cook CEO
- HP, 2011Fire CEO, appoint director
- Micron Technology, 2012Appoint Durcan permanent CEO
- Sony, 2012Own the TV unit himself
- Yahoo, 2012Hire transformational CEO
- Total, 2014Groomed insider, split roles
- HP, 2015Split the company
- Samsung, 2021Borrow against the empire
- Disney, 2023Board owns succession process
- Toyota, 2023Replace CEO amid EV pressure
- Boeing, 2024Hire an outsider engineer
- Berkshire Hathaway, 2025Engineer structured succession
Kept in part · 3
- Apple, 2019Split design under the COO
- JPMorgan Chase, 2020Activate existing co-presidents
- General Motors, 2025Elevate frontrunner without naming
Walked back · 2
- Coca-Cola, 1997Elect groomed deputy Ivester
- Nike, 2019Promote sitting director Donahoe
Too early to call · 7
- Procter & Gamble, 2013Recall retired Lafley
- Microsoft, 2014Promote insider Nadella
- Uber, 2017Appoint Dara Khosrowshahi
- Ferrari, 2018Name successors same meeting
- Alphabet (Google), 2019Hand over title, keep votes
- Amazon, 2021Promote AWS head Jassy
- Texas Roadhouse, 2021Promote sitting president immediately
Questions
- What is CEO succession planning?
- Deciding, before the job is open, who could run the company next and how the handover would happen, including in an emergency. The boards on record that handled sudden deaths smoothly, such as Micron, Total and Texas Roadhouse, were following a plan they already had.
- Is an internal or external CEO successor better?
- The record does not settle it. The handovers that held were mostly insiders who had already done the work, such as Costco's Jelinek and McDonald's Bell. But Coca-Cola's insider was pushed out, and Nike's choice of a sitting director was later undone in favor of a long-time insider.
- What happens when a CEO dies suddenly?
- The companies on record that recovered fastest had decided in advance. Micron's bylaws made its president interim chief executive the same day. McDonald's named a successor within hours of its chairman's death, and Total had a new chief executive within 36 hours.
- Why do boards bring back a former CEO?
- Usually because the business is struggling and the board wants someone who already knows it. Starbucks returned Howard Schultz in 2008 amid falling traffic, and Procter & Gamble recalled A.G. Lafley in 2013. Disney did the same in 2022, then formed a board committee to own the next succession.
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