The decision

Choose who runs the company after the leader who defined it, and decide how the handover happens.

What the record shows

15 of 20 judged decisions were never undone, and 2 were walked back. 7 more are too early to judge.

The lesson

The handovers that held were tested long before the seat was empty. Naming a successor takes a day; testing one takes years.

Five days at Coca-Cola

In October 1997 Coca-Cola's chairman and chief executive, Roberto Goizueta, died. Five days later the board held a special meeting and elected Douglas Ivester to both jobs: the tenth chairman in the company's history, and the one everyone had expected.

Ivester had been president and chief operating officer since 1994. He was the designated heir and already doing much of the job, so the handover was treated as a formality. By late 1999 the company had been in a slump for roughly two years, and analysts described his position in blunt terms.

“the great misfortune of being in charge of Coca-Cola during perhaps its worst period ever”Analysts on Douglas Ivester, as recorded in the Coca-Cola case

In December 1999 the board accepted his resignation, effective April 19, 2000, about two and a half years after he took over. The shares fell sharply on the news.

Thirteen years later Costco handed over the same job the slow way. On February 1, 2010 its board made Craig Jelinek president and chief operating officer, put him on the board, and folded him into an Office of the President with three senior leaders, among them the chairman and the finance chief. He became chief executive two years later. Over his tenure revenue grew from $99 billion to $242.3 billion and the warehouse count from 617 to 861.

Both boards picked an insider who was already doing the work. One treated the choice as settled the day the seat was empty. The other spent two years finding out, in public, whether it was right. That gap, between naming a successor and testing one, runs through this whole guide.

What ceo succession is

Definition

CEO succession is the choice of who runs a company after the person running it now, and of how the handover happens. It is hardest when the outgoing leader defined the company, because the board must also decide what the successor is there to keep and what to change.

It is a board's decision more than a chief executive's. A sitting leader can recommend a successor, as Steve Jobs did in writing for Tim Cook, but the board makes the appointment, lives with it, and is the one that has to undo it if it goes wrong.

Why it is so hard

On paper it is a hiring decision. In a real company, three things make it unlike any other hire.

1

The result takes years to show

A board's choice is news the day it is made. Whether it worked shows up years later, which is why so many successions on record are still too early to judge.

2

The obvious candidate is watched, not tested

The deputy everyone expects has usually been observed doing a different job. Being named the heir and proving you can run the company are two different things, and the first can hide the second.

3

The seat often empties without warning

Many handovers on record began with a death, a crash or an emergency operation. A board that has not decided in advance has to decide in a weekend.

The ways companies did it

The decisions on record take four shapes. Each answers the same question, who is next, with a different amount of time to decide.

Build a runway

Test the successor in public, early

Put the likely successor in a visible role for years before the handover.

Costco
Gave Craig Jelinek a two-year runway as president, chief operating officer and director before he became chief executive. As of 2023 reporting, he had never changed the price of the $1.50 hot dog.
Berkshire Hathaway
Named Greg Abel publicly as Warren Buffett's successor in 2021, announced the handover in May 2025, and made him chief executive on January 1, 2026, with Buffett staying on as chairman.
Apple
Named Tim Cook chief executive in August 2011 on Steve Jobs's written recommendation. Over Cook's tenure the stock rose roughly 2,000% against about 503% for the S&P 500.
Have the plan ready

Fill the seat in hours

When the leader dies or cannot return, follow a plan written before it was needed.

Micron Technology
Its bylaws made Mark Durcan interim chief executive the day Steve Appleton was killed in a crash in February 2012. The board made him permanent the next day, and he gave up a retirement he had announced days earlier.
Total
Named Patrick Pouyanné chief executive barely 36 hours after its chairman and chief executive died in 2014, with a former chairman, Thierry Desmarest, as chairman until the end of 2015.
McDonald's
Named Charlie Bell chief executive within hours of Jim Cantalupo's death in April 2004. When Bell stepped down that November to fight cancer, the board named Jim Skinner the same day, and the turnaround plan carried on under both.
Run a search

Look inside and out

Open the job to outside candidates and let a committee decide.

Microsoft
Ran a search of roughly five months that narrowed to six serious candidates, including outsiders. The board could not agree on an outsider and the outside candidates withdrew; in February 2014 it named Satya Nadella, who had been at Microsoft twenty-two years.
Boeing
In July 2024 hired Kelly Ortberg, an engineer with "more than 35 years of aerospace experience," after three of its four previous chief executives had come from General Electric.
Disney
In January 2023 formed a board committee to own the succession rather than leave it to the sitting chief executive. It named Josh D'Amaro chief executive effective March 18, 2026.
Bring someone back

Return the old leader

Hand the job back to the person who held it before.

Starbucks
On January 7, 2008 its chairman, Howard Schultz, took the chief executive job back from Jim Donald. In fiscal 2008 Starbucks closed more than 600 underperforming U.S. stores, and profit fell to $315.5 million.
Procter & Gamble
In May 2013 recalled A.G. Lafley, who had already left the company and its board, to replace Robert McDonald as chairman, president and chief executive.

What 27 companies did

Here is every decision on record, placed by the year it was made and marked by how it turned out. Hover a mark, or open the table, for the company and the outcome.

27 choosing the next ceo decisions, 1997 to 2025

Each mark is one decision. "Never undone" means the company did not reverse it, not that it worked.

Never undone15Kept in part3Walked back2Too early to call7
1990200020102020
Show as a table
CompanyYearChoiceOutcome
Coca-Cola1997Elect groomed deputy IvesterWalked back
McDonald's2004Promote insider heir apparentNever undone
Starbucks2008Schultz retakes CEONever undone
Costco2010Engineer a two-year runwayNever undone
Apple2011Name Cook CEONever undone
HP2011Fire CEO, appoint directorNever undone
Micron Technology2012Appoint Durcan permanent CEONever undone
Sony2012Own the TV unit himselfNever undone
Yahoo2012Hire transformational CEONever undone
Procter & Gamble2013Recall retired LafleyToo early to call
Microsoft2014Promote insider NadellaToo early to call
Total2014Groomed insider, split rolesNever undone
HP2015Split the companyNever undone
Uber2017Appoint Dara KhosrowshahiToo early to call
Ferrari2018Name successors same meetingToo early to call
Alphabet (Google)2019Hand over title, keep votesToo early to call
Apple2019Split design under the COOKept in part
Nike2019Promote sitting director DonahoeWalked back
JPMorgan Chase2020Activate existing co-presidentsKept in part
Amazon2021Promote AWS head JassyToo early to call
Samsung2021Borrow against the empireNever undone
Texas Roadhouse2021Promote sitting president immediatelyToo early to call
Disney2023Board owns succession processNever undone
Toyota2023Replace CEO amid EV pressureNever undone
Boeing2024Hire an outsider engineerNever undone
Berkshire Hathaway2025Engineer structured successionNever undone
General Motors2025Elevate frontrunner without namingKept in part
Source: Stratrix Decision Records, Succession Question (27 verified records). Outcome as recorded in each case.

Of the 20 decisions that can be judged, 15 were never undone, 2 were walked back and 3 were kept only in part. Another 7 are too early to judge: a board's choice is reported the day it is made, and its consequences are not.

Read "never undone" carefully. HP's board fired Léo Apotheker in September 2011, less than eleven months into the job, and made one of its own directors, Meg Whitman, chief executive the same day. In February 2026 another chief executive left and the board again put one of its own members in as interim chief. The revolving door had already cost more than $83 million in severance. That decision counts as never undone because the board kept making it.

The walk-backs

Put the walk-backs and the half-measures side by side and two patterns show. Both outright reversals put a person in charge without testing them in the job first: a handover waved through as a formality, and a digital pivot handed to a director.

CompanyWhat it didHow it was undoneKind of move
Coca-Cola1997Elected the designated heir, Douglas Ivester, five days after Roberto Goizueta's deathThe board accepted his resignation, effective April 19, 2000, about two and a half years inThe stock fell sharply on the newsTreated as a formality
Apple2019Named no successor to Jony Ive and had design report to the chief operating officerWith that officer's retirement in 2025, design was set to report to the chief executive againLeft the seat empty
Nike2019Made John Donahoe, a director since 2014, chief executive to lead a digital pivotReplaced on October 14, 2024 by Elliott Hill, an insider brought out of retirementChose a director to change course
JPMorgan Chase2020Had its two co-presidents run the bank while Jamie Dimon recovered from heart surgeryThe co-presidency ended when Gordon Smith retired and Daniel Pinto became sole presidentLeft the seat empty
General Motors2025Gave Sterling Anderson a new, wide product role without naming a successorHis authority grew within six months, while GM called talk of his succession "premature and speculative"Left the seat empty

The kind of move is Stratrix's reading of each case. The JPMorgan arrangement worked while it was needed; it is marked as kept only in part because the structure behind it was taken apart within about twenty months.

The other pattern is in the half-measures. Apple, JPMorgan Chase and General Motors each held a seat or a structure open on purpose, and each later had to fill it or take it apart. An open seat is not a decision avoided; it is a decision postponed.

The handovers that held had something in common too: the successor had already done the job, under observation, before the title changed. Charlie Bell had been running McDonald's as president since a promotion in December 2002. Jelinek spent two years in Costco's Office of the President. Durcan was Micron's president and chief operating officer the day the bylaws made him chief executive.

A board can name a successor in a day. Testing one takes years.

What the share price did

For many of the decisions there is a clean market record: the company's total return over the three years after the decision, against the S&P 500.

Three years after the decision, against the S&P 500

Percentage points of total return above or below the index, for the 12 decisions with a clean market record. 42% beat it; the median was −10.9 points.

Never undoneKept in partWalked back
−75−6.3+62.5+131.3+2000Apple 2019+150.1Starbucks 2008+85.8McDonald's 2004+52.3Costco 2010Apple 2011JPMorgan Chase 2020Toyota 2023HP 2011Sony 2012Nike 2019Coca-Cola 1997−54.4Disney 2023−54.6median −10.9
Show as a table
CompanyYearvs S&P 500, 3 yearsOutcome
Apple2019+150.1Kept in part
Starbucks2008+85.8Never undone
McDonald's2004+52.3Never undone
Costco2010+49.7Never undone
Apple2011+15.6Never undone
JPMorgan Chase2020−4.9Kept in part
Toyota2023−16.9Never undone
HP2011−21.3Never undone
Sony2012−32.3Never undone
Nike2019−35.1Walked back
Coca-Cola1997−54.4Walked back
Disney2023−54.6Never undone
Source: Stratrix Decision Records, market field. A company with two decisions in one window is shown once. Share prices move for many reasons: read this as context, not cause.

Both reversals with a market record sit near the bottom of the chart. Coca-Cola trailed the index by 54.4 points over the three years after Ivester took over, and Nike by 35.1 points after Donahoe's appointment was announced.

Read the top of the chart with care. Apple's 2019 decision to leave Jony Ive's job unfilled, kept only in part, sits highest of all, at 150.1 points ahead. Three years of share price says more about the company than about one appointment.

How to run this decision

If you are weighing a version of this choice, here is what the record suggests doing, in order.

  1. Put the successor in the job before the seat is open

    Not the title, the work. Costco gave Jelinek the operating job and a board seat two years ahead. Bell was effectively running McDonald's well before Cantalupo died. JPMorgan's co-presidents had held their titles for about two years when Dimon went into surgery.

    Seen in: Costco, 2010 · McDonald's, 2004 · JPMorgan Chase, 2020
  2. Make the test public, so it can be failed

    Costco's runway existed so that the handover would be survivable even if the heir turned out wrong. A private assumption cannot fail until it is too late; Coca-Cola's designated heir was out about two and a half years after the formality of his election.

    Seen in: Costco, 2010 · Berkshire Hathaway, 2025 · Coca-Cola, 1997
  3. Write down the emergency mechanics before you need them

    Micron's bylaws named an interim chief executive the day its leader died. Total filled the top job in 36 hours from a successor long groomed and a former chairman held in reserve. A sudden death tests the paperwork, not the board's judgment under pressure.

    Seen in: Micron Technology, 2012 · Total, 2014 · Texas Roadhouse, 2021
  4. Ask whether the job can be done before asking who should do it

    Yahoo hired the most credible product leader it could find for a core business the market valued at almost nothing, and the company was sold five years later. HP split itself in two rather than ask one successor to carry both halves of its legacy.

    Seen in: Yahoo, 2012 · HP, 2015
  5. Say what the successor may not change

    Jelinek left the $1.50 hot dog alone. Bell and Skinner carried Cantalupo's turnaround forward rather than replacing it. Naming the fixed points turns a broad mandate into a narrow one, and a narrow mandate is one a board can supervise.

    Seen in: Costco, 2010 · McDonald's, 2004
  6. Say which is moving, the title or the control

    Alphabet's founders gave Sundar Pichai the chief executive title in 2019 and kept roughly half the votes. The Lee family paid a record inheritance tax and came out owning more of Samsung. Both are legitimate; the people who will work for the new leader deserve to know which one they are in.

    Seen in: Alphabet (Google), 2019 · Samsung, 2021

Warning signs

What it has looked like when this decision was going wrong.

  • The heir has been designated for years and the handover is described as a formality.Coca-Cola, 1997
  • The board reaches for one of its own directors.HP, 2011 and 2026 · Nike, 2019
  • The arrangement the handover relied on is taken apart soon afterward.JPMorgan Chase, 2020
  • Everyone knows who the likely successor is, and the company calls the question premature.General Motors, 2025

All 27 cases

Each case is one company at one decision: what was on the table, what it chose, why, and what followed, with every fact sourced.

Never undone · 15

Kept in part · 3

Walked back · 2

Too early to call · 7

Questions

What is CEO succession planning?
Deciding, before the job is open, who could run the company next and how the handover would happen, including in an emergency. The boards on record that handled sudden deaths smoothly, such as Micron, Total and Texas Roadhouse, were following a plan they already had.
Is an internal or external CEO successor better?
The record does not settle it. The handovers that held were mostly insiders who had already done the work, such as Costco's Jelinek and McDonald's Bell. But Coca-Cola's insider was pushed out, and Nike's choice of a sitting director was later undone in favor of a long-time insider.
What happens when a CEO dies suddenly?
The companies on record that recovered fastest had decided in advance. Micron's bylaws made its president interim chief executive the same day. McDonald's named a successor within hours of its chairman's death, and Total had a new chief executive within 36 hours.
Why do boards bring back a former CEO?
Usually because the business is struggling and the board wants someone who already knows it. Starbucks returned Howard Schultz in 2008 amid falling traffic, and Procter & Gamble recalled A.G. Lafley in 2013. Disney did the same in 2022, then formed a board committee to own the next succession.

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