$299Precedent Set · one-time · Excel, JSON, PowerPoint, Word, PDF

This set goes on sale at 12 verified records. 42 verified so far. Leave your email and we will tell you when it is ready.

Open records

5 of 111 records, free, exactly as they appear in the set. 37 more verified records are in the purchased files.

CompanyFork dateThe forkOptionsChoiceStated rationaleWhat happenedJudgment analystSources
Adidas
Read the story →
verified
2022-10How to handle the Yeezy partnership and its aftermath after terminating the deal with Ye
  • Terminate and monetize inventory End the deal but keep rights and sell through leftover stock
  • Write off the wreckage End the deal and torch the remaining inventory
Terminate and monetize inventoryAdidas kept all design rights and drained the warehouse for cash rather than torching it, monetizing the wreckage on its own termsLatest · 2023
Yeezy inventory sold through: roughly €750 million of leftover inventory sold through in 2023
reversibility low
verdict held
Adidas AG (2022-10); Adidas AG (2024-03); Adidas AG (2025-03); Adidas AG (2025-03)
Adobe
Read the story →
verified
2023-12-18Should Adobe fight to close the Figma deal or pay $1 billion to walk away?
  • Abandon the deal Pay $1 billion termination fee and walk away
  • Fight to close Battle regulators to complete the $20 billion acquisition
Abandon the dealThere was no clear path to receive necessary regulatory approvals from the European Commission and the UK CMA1 year · 2025
AI-influenced ARR: AI-influenced annual recurring revenue surpassed $5 billion
reversibility low
verdict held
Adobe Inc. / U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (2023-12); SQ Magazine (drawing on Adobe Newsroom, 6sense, ProDesignTools) (2026-06)
Airbnb
Read the story →
verified
2011-08How to respond after the EJ ransacking became a public crisis: suppress the story or build visible host protection
  • Keep suppressing the story Try to make the crisis go away and protect the funding round
  • Apologize and build protection Publicly apologize and launch a Host Guarantee to rebuild trust
Apologize and build protectionThe company admitted it 'felt paralyzed' and had 'really screwed things up,' launching the guarantee to repair the damage5 years · 2025
listings and issue rates: Over 550,000 listings removed, with measurable drops in customer-service issue rates and chargebacks through 2025
reversibility low
verdict held
CNN (2011-08); Vator.tv (2011-08); TechCrunch (2012-05); Hospitable.com (2025-07); Airbnb Investor Relations (Q4 2025 supplemental data, via last10k.com aggregating SEC filings) (2026-02)
Airbnb
Read the story →
verified
2025-10-27Whether to raise the PMS-connected host fee to a mandatory 15.5% despite hosts being free to multi-home
  • Impose mandatory 15.5% fee Move PMS-connected hosts to a host-only fee with no opt-out
  • Keep prior split-fee model Retain the historic lower host fee to preserve host advantage
Impose mandatory 15.5% feeA calculated bet that the demand advantage is now strong enough to charge forNo dated outcome stated yetreversibility medium
verdict too-early
RentalScaleUp by PriceLabs (2025-09)
Airbnb
Read the story →
verified
2020Whether to keep buying performance marketing or suspend it and rely on the brand
  • Keep performance marketing Continue paid search and online bidding to feed the funnel
  • Suspend performance marketing Stop paid spend and lean on brand and direct traffic
Suspend performance marketingThe brand was already load-bearing, so most demand arrived direct or unpaid regardless of paid spendLatest · 2020
traffic recovery: traffic returned to 95% of prior year's levels before a dollar was spent to bring it back
reversibility medium
verdict held
SEC / Airbnb, Inc. (2020-11); SEC / Airbnb, Inc. (2020-11); Campaign Live (UK) (2021-02); PhocusWire; Backlinko (2025-02)

What is in the set

ExcelSortable records, outcomes and sources
JSONDrop it into your AI workspace
PowerPointOne record per slide, action titles, source lines
WordEditable, with the source appendix
PDFThe reading copy
  • Fork date at the precision the record supports, never sharper.
  • The fork, the options, the choice in the form the company faced them.
  • Stated rationale as the company gave it or the record documents it, not our theory.
  • Capital committed where the record states it; blank where it does not.
  • Outcomes at one, three and five years or latest, each dated and cited.
  • Reversibility and verdict as analyst judgments, marked as such.
  • Every source, with dates and links, per record and in an appendix.

The reads these records come from