$299Precedent Set · one-time · Excel, JSON, PowerPoint, Word, PDF

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5 of 21 records, free, exactly as they appear in the set. 5 more verified records are in the purchased files.

CompanyFork dateThe forkOptionsChoiceStated rationaleWhat happenedJudgment analystSources
Coca-Cola
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verified
1899-07-21Whether to grant away national bottling rights to Coca-Cola or keep bottling in-house
  • Grant bottling rights away Hand near-national bottling rights to Thomas and Whitehead for a dollar
  • Keep bottling in-house Retain and fund bottling operations within the company
Grant bottling rights awayCandler believed bottling would fail and thought the men were doomed5 years · 2024
refranchising of bottling operations: sold Philippines bottling operations for net cash proceeds of $1.652 billion and India territories for $474 million
reversibility low
verdict partial
Tennessee Encyclopedia (Tennessee Historical Society) (2018); Chattanooga Times Free Press (2026-06); American Business History Center (2025-09); Coca-Cola UNITED (2018-04); The Coca-Cola Company (2024); Virginia Museum of History & Culture (business archives of Central Coca-Cola Bottling Company, Inc.) (2003); U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission / The Coca-Cola Company (2025-02); U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission / The Coca-Cola Company (2025-02); The Coca-Cola Company Investor Relations (2024-02)
Hilton
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verified
2017-01Whether to keep owning hotel real estate or spin it off and become an asset-light brand franchisor
  • Spin off real estate Separate buildings into a REIT and become a brand franchisor
  • Keep owning hotels Double down on owning appreciating real estate and the property cycle
Spin off real estateFranchise fee cash flow is far steadier than the lumpy, leveraged property cycle, and each new franchised hotel adds near-pure-margin royalty with almost no added cost5 years · 2023
Owned/leased footprint: about 51 of 7,530 properties owned or leased at end of 2023 — under 1% of its portfolio
reversibility low
verdict held
SEC / Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (2017); Franchise Help (2024); SEC / Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (2025-02); SEC / Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (2025-02); SEC / Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (2025-02); Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. via BusinessWire (2025-02); Wikipedia / Hilton Worldwide (2024)
Marriott
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verified
2024Whether to honor the contractual put option and buy the Sheraton Grand Chicago
  • Buy the hotel as obligated Honor the 2017 settlement put option and purchase the property.
  • Contest or refuse the obligation Attempt to avoid the contractual purchase the owner exercised.
Buy the hotel as obligatedA contract obligated Marriott to buy, via a put option granted in a 2017 litigation settlement from the Starwood acquisition.Latest · 2024
hotel ownership vs asset-light model: Marriott owns a $500M skyscraper despite owning or leasing less than 1% of its hotels
reversibility low
verdict held
CoStar (2024-02); Marriott International, Inc. (SEC EDGAR) (2025-02)
Mars
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verified
1935Should a candy company enter and hold pet care as a long-term adjacency?
  • Enter and hold pet care Buy a dog-food canner and compound it for generations
  • Stay a candy company Focus on the core chocolate and confectionery business
Enter and hold pet carePermanent private ownership let Mars treat pet care as a habit it could compound rather than a bet on a schedule.5 years · 2017-09-12
deepening into veterinary care via VCA: Mars completed its ~$9.1 billion purchase of VCA, divesting 12 hospitals for the FTC
reversibility low
verdict held
Britannica Money (2026-04); Fortune / Yahoo Finance (2025-01); SEC / VCA Inc. (2017-09)
Red Bull
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verified
2007Build an owned content and media machine to defend a commodity drink, rather than renting brand meaning through conventional advertising
  • Own the content machine Build a film studio, TV channel and magazine to manufacture brand meaning
  • Rent conventional advertising Buy TV spots and media from others to promote the drink
Own the content machineContent is the cheapest way to move a can and to make a commodity product un-poachable5 years · 2024
net sales: net sales rose 6.4% to €11.2 billion, on 12.7 billion cans sold
reversibility low
verdict held
Northdata.com (Austrian Firmenbuch registry) (2007); Georgia Straight (2016-01); Bloomberg (2025-01)

What is in the set

ExcelSortable records, outcomes and sources
JSONDrop it into your AI workspace
PowerPointOne record per slide, action titles, source lines
WordEditable, with the source appendix
PDFThe reading copy
  • Fork date at the precision the record supports, never sharper.
  • The fork, the options, the choice in the form the company faced them.
  • Stated rationale as the company gave it or the record documents it, not our theory.
  • Capital committed where the record states it; blank where it does not.
  • Outcomes at one, three and five years or latest, each dated and cited.
  • Reversibility and verdict as analyst judgments, marked as such.
  • Every source, with dates and links, per record and in an appendix.

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