UPS and Gucci both gave up volume for margin. Only one got the margin.
UPS cut Amazon volume and its adjusted operating margin climbed to 9.8%. Gucci shed entry-level trade, revenue fell 23% to €7.7 billion, and Kering's margin fell from 24.3% to 14.9%. Name the refill first.
Transcript
Two companies chose to shrink on purpose, trading volume for a better price on each sale. One got the margin. The other lost it.
In early 2025, UPS said it would cut its Amazon volume by more than 50% by the second half of 2026. Its chief executive said Amazon was its largest customer, but not its most profitable. In 2023, Gucci named Sabato De Sarno creative director, and began weaning itself off travel retail, outlets and entry-level merchandise.
UPS took real pain. In one quarter of 2025, UPS ran an $85 million overrun in delivery expense. But in fiscal 2025, UPS revenue dropped to $88.7 billion while its adjusted operating margin climbed to 9.8%. In the fourth quarter, UPS revenue per piece in the U.S. jumped 8.3%.
Gucci shed the cheap trade but failed to reinforce it with higher-end product. Gucci's 2024 revenue fell 23%, to €7.7 billion. Gucci wholesale fell 28%. And Kering's group recurring operating margin fell from 24.3% to 14.9% in a single year.
On February 6, 2025, roughly two years after his appointment, Gucci ended the collaboration with De Sarno.
The difference was the refill. UPS planned to fill its freed capacity with denser, higher-priced business, and its price per piece rose. Gucci gave up the entry-level trade with nothing higher-end to take its place. Two cases do not make a rule, and the UPS story is still young. But before you give up volume, name what fills the gap.
The records behind this video
Every figure in the video comes from these Decision Records, each with its sources.
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