$299Precedent Set · one-time · Excel, JSON, PowerPoint, Word, PDF

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5 of 82 records, free, exactly as they appear in the set. 48 more verified records are in the purchased files.

CompanyFork dateThe forkOptionsChoiceStated rationaleWhat happenedJudgment analystSources
Adobe
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verified
2023Whether to pay $1B to walk away from the Figma deal or fight two regulators to close it
  • Pay fee and terminate Pay Figma $1B breakup fee and abandon the acquisition.
  • Fight regulators to close Contest the CMA and EC findings and try to complete the deal.
Pay fee and terminateThere was no clear path to receive necessary regulatory approvals from the European Commission and the UK CMANo dated outcome stated yetreversibility low
verdict too-early
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission / Adobe Inc. (2023-12); CNBC (2023-12)
Alphabet (Google)
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verified
2013-03-13Whether to keep a loved but non-scaling product like Google Reader alive, or discontinue it to focus on fewer products
  • Keep Reader running Maintain a loved tool with a modest, stable audience
  • Discontinue Reader Shut it down to focus on fewer products
Discontinue ReaderThe product had a loyal but declining following and no path to the only number that matters, and Google wanted to focus on fewer productsLatest · 2013
user petition to save the product: the petition to save it ultimately drew more than 150,000 signatures
reversibility low
verdict held
Wikipedia / Google Reader article (cites original Google blog post) (2013-03); Change.org (2013-03)
Amazon
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verified
2014-07-25Whether to bet on a commerce-funnel Fire Phone launched at a premium price
  • Launch premium funnel phone Ship the Fire Phone at $199 on a two-year contract to feed Amazon's commerce funnel
  • Build phone for customer Engineer the best phone for the buyer rather than the seller's funnel
Launch premium funnel phoneThe phone was engineered to feed Amazon's commerce funnel rather than to be the best phone a customer could holdLatest · 2014
Q3 2014 operating loss: Operating loss of $544 million — its largest ever at the time
reversibility medium
verdict reversed
Wikipedia / Variety / Recode (2014-10); Amazon.com, Inc. — Q3 2014 Earnings Conference Call (2014-10); Variety (2014-10)
AMD
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verified
2008-10-07Whether AMD should sell its fabs and become a fabless chip designer amid near-insolvency
  • Sell fabs, go fabless Spin off factories to Abu Dhabi's fund and take on a supply contract
  • Keep owning fabs Retain manufacturing assets and their crushing capital costs
Sell fabs, go fablessA near-insolvent company sold its most valuable physical assets for a balance-sheet reprieve and debt relief3 years · 2012
Exit from exclusivity: AMD paid $703 million to escape the Wafer Supply Agreement exclusivity
reversibility low
verdict partial
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (2009-04); Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. / GlobalFoundries Inc. (2011-02); Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. / Intel Corporation (2009-11); EE Times (2010-04); Culpium (independent financial analysis) (2024-10)
AMD
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verified
2006-10After buying ATI's GPUs, whether to fund a general-purpose GPU software platform
  • Buy GPU silicon only Acquire ATI's hardware and patents without a software layer
  • Fund GPU software platform Build a CUDA-equivalent programmable-GPU software layer on the new silicon
Buy GPU silicon onlyAMD stated it lacked the financial resources to compete on such a large scale, and after the acquisition spent its capital servicing debt and untangling from its factories.5 years · 2025
Discrete GPU market leadership: AMD's FY2025 filing concedes Nvidia is the share leader and claims leadership only in semi-custom game consoles
reversibility low
verdict held
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (2006-10); Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (1999); Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (2007-01); GPUnex Blog (2026-01); Thunder Compute (2026-06); Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (2026-02)

What is in the set

ExcelSortable records, outcomes and sources
JSONDrop it into your AI workspace
PowerPointOne record per slide, action titles, source lines
WordEditable, with the source appendix
PDFThe reading copy
  • Fork date at the precision the record supports, never sharper.
  • The fork, the options, the choice in the form the company faced them.
  • Stated rationale as the company gave it or the record documents it, not our theory.
  • Capital committed where the record states it; blank where it does not.
  • Outcomes at one, three and five years or latest, each dated and cited.
  • Reversibility and verdict as analyst judgments, marked as such.
  • Every source, with dates and links, per record and in an appendix.

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