People & Control

Succession Question

What happens after the defining leader is gone?

62%
of the 13 settled decisions on record held
8 held2 reversed3 held in part4 too early to call

Held over settled: 13 records whose verdict is in, from forks between 1997–2025, with 4 still too early to call and counted in neither. This is what happened to the companies on record, not the odds for your decision. The corpus covers decisions documented well enough to verify, which skews toward companies that lasted long enough to be written about.

Apple, JPMorgan Chase, Samsung, Coca-Cola, McDonald's, Yahoo, General Motors, HP and 7 more faced this decision. Below is what was on the table, what each chose, and what it returned.

The record

  1. 2011

    Apple

    Held

    Whether an operator-successor could create value at Apple after a visionary founder

    • Name Cook CEOHand the company to the operator recommended by Jobschose this
    • Seek a new visionaryHire a founder-type successor to keep inventing categories

    Stated reasonJobs recommended in writing that the board execute the succession plan and name Cook CEO

    What happened
    • 2026-04 Apple market value: the store is worth more than $4 trillion
    • 2024 Services revenue: roughly $96 billion a year by fiscal 2024
    • 2026-04 Stock performance under Cook: stock rose roughly 2,000% while the S&P 500 rose about 503%
    Read the full analysis →
  2. 2020

    JPMorgan Chase

    Held in part

    How to run the bank while Dimon was in surgery: activate existing co-presidents or improvise a new arrangement

    • Activate existing co-presidentsDirect the two-year co-presidents to run operations while Dimon kept CEO title.chose this
    • Name new crisis leadershipInvent a role or appoint acting leaders under emergency pressure.

    Stated reasonPinto and Smith had held the co-president title for about two years, so activating them was an announcement rather than a decision

    What happened
    • 2021-05-18 structure of the co-presidency: Gordon Smith retired and Daniel Pinto became sole President and COO, ending the two-person co-presidency
    • 2025-01-14 operating chief succession: JPMorgan named Jennifer Piepszak COO effective immediately, replacing Pinto, with his retirement set for 2026
    • 2020-03-12 operational continuity during recovery: The co-presidents, not Dimon, told staff he had been discharged and was 'back at home'
    Read the full analysis →
  3. 2021

    Samsung

    Held

    How to pay the record inheritance tax without losing family control of Samsung

    • Borrow against the empirePay via dividends and personal credit loans without selling core shareschose this
    • Liquidate prized holdingsSell core Samsung shares to raise the cash for the tax

    Stated reasonPaying through loans and dividends rather than selling core shares tightened rather than loosened family control of the group

    Committed12 trillion won — about $8 billion (inheritance tax paid in six installments over five years)

    What happened
    • 2022-10-27 governance role: appointed Executive Chairman of Samsung Electronics
    • 2021-04 Lee Jae-yong direct Samsung Electronics stake: rose to 1.67% from 0.70%
    • 2021-04 Lee Jae-yong Samsung Life Insurance stake: jumped to 10.44% from 0.06%
    Read the full analysis →
  4. 1997

    Coca-Cola

    Reversed

    Whether to elevate the pre-designated deputy to chairman and CEO after Goizueta's death

    • Elect groomed deputy IvesterFormally elevate the number-two heir to chairman and CEOchose this
    • Run a searchAppoint a caretaker or use a search firm instead

    Stated reasonIvester was the designated heir already doing the job as president and COO, so the handover was a formality

    What happened
    • 2000-04-19 CEO tenure ended: Ivester announced plan to retire and relinquished the role effective April 19, 2000, roughly two and a half years in
    • 1999-12-06 stock reaction: Coca-Cola's stock fell sharply on the retirement news
    Read the full analysis →
  5. 2004

    McDonald's

    Held

    Whether to name a permanent CEO immediately from inside or run a search process

    • Promote insider heir apparentElect sitting president/COO Charlie Bell as permanent CEO the same daychose this
    • Run a search processAnnounce interim leadership and a formal CEO search

    Stated reasonBell had been the heir apparent already functionally running the company since his December 2002 promotion, so promoting him changed the title, not the strategy

    What happened
    • 2004-11-22 second CEO transition filled from inside: The same day Bell resigned, the board named vice chairman Jim Skinner CEO and elected Mike Roberts as president and COO
    • 2004 strategy continuity: Cantalupo's turnaround program continued under Bell, then under Skinner
    Read the full analysis →
  6. 2012

    Yahoo

    Reversed

    Should Yahoo's board hire a transformational CEO to turn around the operating business, or manage the company as a holding vehicle toward sale?

    • Hire transformational CEOBring in a product visionary to turn around the operating businesschose this
    • Manage toward orderly saleAdmit Yahoo was mostly a holding company and unwind it as one

    Stated reasonThe board had run out of patience and hired the most credible product visionary to make the old machine roar and transform the core business.

    What happened
    • 2017-06-13 company ownership: Verizon paid about $4.48 billion for the whole company, marked down by $350 million after data breach disclosures
    • 2017-06-13 CEO tenure end: Mayer remained CEO through the closing and agreed to step off the board, leaving with more than $23 million
    Read the full analysis →
  7. 2019

    Apple

    Held in part

    How to handle design leadership after Ive's departure — name a successor CDO or dissolve the seat

    • Name a new design chiefAppoint an SVP/CDO reporting to the CEO as Ive did.
    • Split design under the COOSplit into two VPs reporting to the operations chief.chose this

    Stated reasonThe article documents no stated Apple reason; the change moved design's reporting line from the CEO to the COO without a named successor chief.

    What happened
    • 2023-02 design leadership structure: Apple eliminated the industrial design chief role entirely; roughly 20 designers began reporting directly to COO Jeff Williams
    • 2025-07 design reporting line: with Williams's retirement announced, design leadership was set to report directly to CEO Tim Cook again
    Read the full analysis →
  8. 2025

    General Motors

    Held in part

    Whether to name a successor and how to prepare GM's handoff from Barra

    • Publicly name a successorCommit to a formal handoff plan while Barra can still answer open questions
    • Elevate frontrunner without namingBuild up Anderson's authority while calling succession premature and speculativechose this
    • Defer succession to boardKeep the decision open and deflect the question to the board

    Stated reasonGM calls a future role for Anderson premature and speculative, and Barra says the board decides

    What happened
    • 2026-01 successor named: GM called any discussion of a future role for Anderson premature and speculative; no successor publicly named
    • 2025 Anderson's authority at GM: Within about six months he became the most influential product executive at GM in more than fifteen years outside of Reuss
    Read the full analysis →
  9. 2011

    HP

    Held

    When the CEO seat empties, replace the person or examine the board that keeps hiring and firing them

    • Fire CEO, appoint directorRemove the failing CEO and elevate a sitting board memberchose this
    • Run an external searchVet and hire a new chief executive from outside
    • Examine the board itselfAddress the constant author of every removal

    Stated reasonThe board ousted Apotheker after the stock dropped roughly 40% in his tenure and the company cut its financial outlook multiple times

    What happened
    • 2026-02 CEO succession stability: In February 2026 HP Inc.'s CEO Enrique Lores stepped down and the board again named one of its own members interim chief and opened another search
    Read the full analysis →
  10. 2012

    Micron Technology

    Held

    Who to appoint permanent CEO after Appleton's sudden death

    • Appoint Durcan permanent CEOName the interim COO-turned-CEO as permanent chief executive.chose this
    • Search for outside successorLook beyond the interim holder for a permanent CEO.

    Stated reasonBylaws had auto-elevated Durcan to interim CEO; the board ratified and made it permanent for clean continuity

    What happened
    • 2012 successor's retirement plan: Durcan abandoned his planned August retirement to take the CEO job
    Read the full analysis →
  11. 2014

    Total

    Held

    How to replace a chairman-and-CEO killed suddenly

    • Groomed insider, split rolesName Pouyanné CEO and Desmarest chairman, permanently.chose this
    • Interim caretaker pending searchAppoint a temporary chief while running a proper search.
    • External search, one combined seatRecruit an outsider into both top roles again.

    Stated reasonPouyanné had long been groomed as a successor and Desmarest was a tested former chairman held in reserve.

    What happened
    • 2015 chairman role: Desmarest to clear the way for Pouyanné to become both chief executive and chairman at the end of 2015
    Read the full analysis →
  12. 2015

    HP

    Held

    Should one CEO carry both halves of HP's legacy, or should the company be split in two?

    • Keep company wholeContinue seeking one CEO to run the entire legacy
    • Split the companyDivide into HP Inc. and Hewlett Packard Enterprisechose this

    Stated reasonThe founder-shaped 'HP Way' had to mean one thing while the two businesses needed it to mean two different things, so no single successor could run the whole legacy.

    What happened
    • 2015 corporate structure: HP Inc. kept PCs and printers with Dion Weisler as CEO; HPE spun off as a separate public company with Meg Whitman as CEO
    Read the full analysis →