5.70 products per household, and a goal of eight
In its 2010 annual report, Wells Fargo told shareholders that its retail banking households held an average of 5.70 of its products, up from 5.47 a year earlier. “Our goal is eight products per customer,” the report said, “which is approximately half of our estimate of potential demand for an average U.S. household” 4.
Six years later, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau fined the bank $100 million. By the bank's own analysis, employees had opened roughly 1.5 million deposit accounts and 565,000 credit card accounts that may not have been authorized, “spurred by sales targets and compensation incentives” 5. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the City and County of Los Angeles added $85 million more 5.
Products per household was meant to stand for something real: customers bringing more of their financial lives to the bank. But an employee could raise it without the customer wanting anything. That is the whole lesson of KPI design in one case. A measure is only as good as the cheapest way to move it.
A KPI that tracks strategy measures a causal bet the strategy makes: an outcome you want, plus the driver you believe moves it. Activity metrics (calls made, campaigns launched, accounts opened) count effort. A strategic KPI set pairs outcomes with drivers, and pairs each with a counter-measure that would expose the shortcut.
Every KPI has a cheapest path. Find it before your team does.
Outcomes, drivers and activity
Kaplan and Norton put the idea underneath strategic measurement plainly: “A business strategy can be viewed as a set of hypotheses about cause-and-effect relationships” 2. Measure the hypotheses and you are measuring the strategy. Measure effort and you are measuring the calendar.
- Outcome (lagging) measures tell you whether the result arrived: revenue, margin, retention. Kaplan and Norton described financial measures as telling “the results of actions already taken” 1.
- Driver (leading) measures tell you, early, whether the thing you are betting on is moving. Their original scorecard called operational measures “the drivers of future financial performance” 1.
- Activity measures count work done. They are useful for running a team. They say nothing about whether the strategy is right.
If you need the textbook definition first, see key performance indicators and leading vs lagging indicators. This page is the practitioner version.
KPI examples by strategic aim
Pick the aim first, then the measures. Each list pairs outcomes with the drivers that usually sit upstream of them. Treat the pairings as starting hypotheses for your business, not laws.
- Growth. Outcome: revenue growth from new customers; share of revenue from products launched in the last three years. Drivers: qualified pipeline created in target segments; win rate against the named competitor; time from product definition to first shipment.
- Retention. Outcome: gross revenue retention; logo churn by cohort. Drivers: share of new accounts that reach first value within 30 days; product usage depth in the first quarter; open service tickets older than 14 days.
- Margin. Outcome: gross margin by segment; contribution margin per order. Drivers: realized price versus list (discount leakage); mix of high-margin lines in new bookings; cost to serve per order.
- Capital efficiency. Outcome: return on invested capital; free cash flow conversion. Drivers: cash conversion cycle; capital expenditure per unit of new capacity; utilization of recently added capacity.
- Execution. Outcome: initiative benefits realized against the business case. Drivers: milestones met on the critical path; share of planned capacity actually staffed; decisions closed by their due date.
They come in pairs because each half covers the other's blind spot. An outcome alone arrives too late to act on. A driver alone can rise while the outcome stays flat, which is the signal your causal bet is wrong. That signal is worth more than either number.
Leading and lagging, side by side
The table lines up common pairs and adds the column most dashboards leave out: the counter-measure. The lead time matters too. A driver that moves only a week before the outcome gives you no room to act.
| Aim | Lagging (outcome) | Leading (driver) | Typical lead time | Counter-measure |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | New-customer revenue | Qualified pipeline in target segments | One to three quarters | Average discount on new deals |
| Growth | Revenue from new products | Time to market for new products | Several quarters | Share of launches that are more than incremental |
| Retention | Gross revenue retention | Accounts reaching first value within 30 days | Two to four quarters | Support tickets per new account |
| Margin | Gross margin by segment | Realized price vs list | One to two quarters | Volume lost in the segment |
| Capital efficiency | Return on invested capital | Utilization of new capacity | Several quarters to years | Maintenance deferred to keep utilization high |
| Execution | Benefits realized vs business case | Critical-path milestones met | Months | Scope removed to hit milestones |
Lead times here are planning ranges, not benchmarks. Measure your own: plot the driver against the outcome with a lag and see whether the relationship holds in your data. If it never shows up, you have learned something important about your strategy, not about your dashboard.
A five-question test for a strategic KPI
Run every proposed KPI through these questions before it reaches the executive dashboard. A KPI that fails two or more belongs on a team dashboard.
- Name the choice it tracksWhich strategic choice, written down somewhere, does this measure tell you about? If you cannot point to one, it is an operating metric.
- State the causal betWrite the sentence “If [driver] moves, [outcome] follows within [time].” If you cannot write it, you do not yet know whether this is a driver or an outcome.
- Check that it can failWould a bad result change a decision, such as budget, sequencing or staffing? A measure that cannot trigger a decision is reporting, not management.
- Find the cheapest pathAsk how a team could hit the number without advancing the strategy. Then add the counter-measure that would expose it, for example pairing win rate with average discount.
- Confirm someone owns itOne named owner, a target, a review cadence and a data source that will still exist next quarter. Without those, the KPI quietly stops being updated.
Worked example: from activity to strategy
The same pattern appears in Kaplan and Norton's account of a disguised retailer they call the Style Company. One division, asked to double revenues in five years, set targets for five drivers: new stores opened, new customers attracted, the share of shoppers converted into purchasers, the portion of existing customers retained, and average sales per customer 2. The outcome was revenue. The drivers were the strategy, made measurable.
Why good KPIs go bad
The anthropologist Marilyn Strathern compressed the problem into one line, in a 1997 paper on university audit: “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure” 6. She was summarizing what is known as Goodhart's law. The mechanism is not cynicism. Once pay, promotion or survival hangs on a number, people look for the fastest way to move it, and the fastest way is rarely the one the strategy intended.
Steven Kerr documented the organizational version in 1975: reward systems that pay for one behavior while hoping for another 3. Kaplan and Norton made it practical: “Even the best objective can be achieved badly.” Their example was cutting time to market by releasing only incrementally different products 1. Wells Fargo is the extreme case. A ratio meant to reflect deeper relationships was tied to targets and pay, and it could be moved by opening accounts 5.
The strongest objection to this page runs the other way. Outcome KPIs punish teams for things they cannot control: a recession, a competitor's price cut, a slow market. Activity metrics are at least fair. A sales rep controls calls made; nobody controls revenue.
That is right about teams and wrong about strategy. Activity metrics belong on team dashboards, where they help people manage their week. The strategy dashboard is for the few people who can change the bet: move budget, change the segment, reprice. For them, a driver that rises while the outcome stays flat is the most useful signal they will get all year, because it means the strategy, not the team, is wrong. Hold teams to drivers they can move. Hold the leadership team to the outcomes.
What to do Monday morning
Take your current executive dashboard and label each measure outcome, driver or activity. Demote the activities to team dashboards. For each outcome, check that at least one driver sits upstream of it. For each driver, write the causal sentence. For each measure tied to pay, write down the cheapest way to hit it, then add the counter-measure that would catch it.
If you run OKRs, the key results should come from this list; if you use a balanced scorecard, the drivers fill its customer, internal and learning perspectives. When an initiative needs measures, the initiative charter is where they get a baseline, a target and a date. And when the measures move but the strategy does not, the strategy execution page covers where the gap usually is. Keep risk signals separate from progress measures; KPI vs KRI explains the difference.
The question for every number on the page is not whether it went up. It is what someone had to do to make it go up, and whether that is the thing your strategy needs done.
Questions
- What are examples of KPIs?
- Useful KPI examples are grouped by the aim they serve. For growth: new-customer revenue and qualified pipeline in target segments. For retention: gross revenue retention and onboarding speed. For margin: gross margin by segment and realized price versus list. For capital efficiency: return on invested capital and the cash conversion cycle. For execution: benefits realized against the business case and critical-path milestones met.
- What is the difference between a leading and a lagging KPI?
- A lagging KPI measures an outcome after it has happened, such as revenue, margin or retention. A leading KPI measures a driver you believe causes that outcome, such as pipeline, onboarding speed or price realization, and moves earlier. A strategic KPI set pairs the two, so you can act before the outcome arrives and can tell when the causal bet is wrong.
- How many KPIs should a business unit track?
- There is no fixed rule, but the strategy dashboard should be short enough that every measure gets discussed when it moves. Five to eight measures per business unit, each tied to a named strategic choice, is a workable range. Operating and activity metrics can live on team dashboards; they need executive attention only when they explain a strategic KPI.
- How do you stop a KPI from being gamed?
- Assume it will be optimized, especially if pay depends on it. Write down the cheapest way to hit the number without advancing the strategy, then add a counter-measure that would expose that shortcut: average discount alongside win rate, expediting cost alongside fill rate, accuracy alongside adoption. Review the pair together, never the KPI alone.
Sources
- Kaplan, R. S., and Norton, D. P. (1992). The Balanced Scorecard—Measures that Drive Performance. Harvard Business Review, January–February 1992. Financial measures as results of past actions, operational measures as drivers; too many measures; objectives achieved badly.
- Kaplan, R. S., and Norton, D. P. (1996). Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management System. Harvard Business Review, January–February 1996 (reprinted July–August 2007). Strategy as cause-and-effect hypotheses; Style Company performance drivers.
- Kerr, S. (1975). On the Folly of Rewarding A, While Hoping for B. Academy of Management Journal, 18(4), 769–783. Reward systems that pay for behavior other than the behavior desired.
- Wells Fargo & Company (2011). 2010 Annual Report (Form 10-K, Exhibit 13). US Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR). Retail bank household cross-sell of 5.70 products, up from 5.47; goal of eight products per customer.
- Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (2016). Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Fines Wells Fargo $100 Million for Widespread Illegal Practice of Secretly Opening Unauthorized Accounts. CFPB press release, September 8, 2016. Roughly 1.5 million deposit and 565,000 credit card accounts possibly unauthorized; $100 million CFPB penalty, $35 million OCC, $50 million City and County of Los Angeles.
- Strathern, M. (1997). “Improving ratings”: audit in the British University system. European Review, 5(3), 305–321. p. 308: the sentence summarizing Goodhart's law.
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