What this pack runs.
Creating a category is not inventing a product. It is spending, for years, to make buyers want something they have no name for, no use for yet, and no budget to pay for, and doing it before anyone else does, so that when the market arrives it arrives for you. What gets it onto an agenda is what has already been spent, which is the one figure that does not count. What decides it is two figures almost no company has: what the teaching costs a year on its own, separated from the four budgets it hides in, and the share of the category the company will keep once the market buys, which every plan assumes is all of it and the record says never is. Red Bull held about 13 percent of the market it made; Beyond Meat's belongs to someone else; Nvidia holds an estimated 85 percent of the one it taught, six years after it started teaching. This pack turns the question into a subtraction and two annuities. What teaching costs a year, from now until the market starts buying, discounted, is one half. What the category will pay a year to everyone selling into it, times the share you keep, from arrival to the last year you count, is the other. The difference is the decision, and the whole question then reduces to the break-even arrival — the latest year the market can start buying and teaching still pays, stated as how many years later than the plan that is, which the plan's own record of how far the year has moved can check. It stops on six conditions: no cost of teaching on its own, no size for the category, no year, no share, no count of years, and no rate.
The casebooks these cases come from.
The pack reads nine sourced decisions through the framework. They are drawn from these casebooks, each one a set of verified records on a single decision type.
| Casebook | Verified records |
|---|---|
| Bet-the-Company | 24 |
A verified record has passed a mechanical claim-versus-source check, a second model's read, and human approval. The count is what exists today, not a target.
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16 files for this one decision.
The extract holds one case of the nine, and the number without the model that produces it. $499, one-time.
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