The Exit

What this pack runs.

Every business inside your company was entered on a written case. It exists, it is dated, and somebody's name is on the forecast. The case for leaving has never been written, because writing it is nobody's job and volunteering to write it is career-limiting — so the case for staying is refreshed annually by people rewarded for producing it, and the business runs until its losses become impossible to defend in a bad year. This pack computes the burn: the operating loss plus the capital the business absorbs, which almost never appear in the same sentence, stated at your own multiple. It prices leaving today, and how many years of patience that buys. Then it computes the same exit at the end of your own estimate of breakeven, with the burn spent waiting added and what a buyer would pay thinned, and returns the difference. It stops on four conditions: nobody has priced leaving, nobody has said how long until it stops losing money, nobody has said how fast a buyer's price thins, and nobody has said what it would cost to be back in.

The casebooks these cases come from.

The pack reads nine sourced decisions through the framework. They are drawn from these casebooks, each one a set of verified records on a single decision type.

A verified record has passed a mechanical claim-versus-source check, a second model's read, and human approval. The count is what exists today, not a target.