The decision

What this pack runs.

Every argument about reversing a position has the same shape. Somebody produces the cost of turning — the write-offs, the exit fees, the retooling, the customers a broken promise takes with it — and it is a large number on a single slide. Nobody produces the cost of holding, because it is paid every period and spread across a business that also does other things. So the room compares a large visible number against nothing, and holds. That is not a failure of nerve but a failure of accounting: the position was never up for decision, so its run cost was never on a line of its own. This pack separates it, prices the destination, and puts both paths on one horizon — returning how many years turning still beats holding, and what the first of those years costs. It stops on two conditions: the cost of holding has never been separated, and the destination has never been priced.

The organizing test
What holding a position costs every period, against what turning costs once
What it resolves to
The window
How long turning still beats holding, and the price of a year of it.
The evidence behind it

The casebooks these cases come from.

The pack reads nine sourced decisions through the framework. They are drawn from these casebooks, each one a set of verified records on a single decision type.

CasebookVerified records
The Reversal21

A verified record has passed a mechanical claim-versus-source check, a second model's read, and human approval. The count is what exists today, not a target.

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16 files for this one decision.

The extract holds one case of the nine, and the number without the model that produces it. $499, one-time.

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